How to Use This Dashboard

1️⃣

Check the SignalThe top panel gives a single BUY / HOLD / REDUCE / SELL recommendation based on all 28 indicators combined.

2️⃣

Read the Risk ScoreThe 0–100 crash risk score summarises market danger. Above 50 = caution. Above 70 = high risk. Each indicator is colour-coded: green (safe), yellow (caution), orange (warning), red (danger).

3️⃣

US vs GlobalScroll past US indicators to see Global 🌍 — international markets are often priced very differently and can offer better value when US valuations are stretched.

4️⃣

Scroll the Full TableThe summary table at the bottom shows all 28 indicators side-by-side with current value, historical average, danger zone and signal — great for a quick full picture.

Not financial advice. This dashboard aggregates publicly available market indicators for informational purposes only. No indicator predicts crashes with certainty. Always consult a qualified financial adviser before making investment decisions.

🇺🇸 US Valuation

As of 17 Mar 2026

🌍 Global Valuation

💡 US vs Global Insight
US markets are significantly more expensive than the rest of the world. The S&P 500 trades at 28.8× earnings vs. MSCI Emerging Markets at 16.4× and Europe at 18.7×. Investors can find meaningfully cheaper valuations in international diversification — though US risks (tariffs, dollar strength) can still transmit globally.

📈 Technical & Momentum

🏭 Economic Indicators

🏦 Fed & Rates

🧠 Smart Money & Sentiment

Historical Context

S&P 500 P/E & Shiller CAPE

Trailing vs. cyclically adjusted (inflation-smoothed)

Buffett Indicator — Market Cap / GDP

Total US market cap as % of GDP · Overvalued above 150%

S&P 500 vs 200-Day Moving Average

Price relative to 200DMA — below = bearish trend

RSI (14-Day) — S&P 500

Overbought >70 · Oversold <30

All Indicators Summary

Indicator	Current	Historical Avg	Danger Zone	Premium to Avg	Signal

What Each Indicator Means

About This Dashboard

What is the S&P 500 PE Ratio?

The S&P 500 PE ratio (price-to-earnings ratio) divides the index price by the trailing 12-month earnings of its 500 constituent companies. Historically the long-run average is around 16×. When the PE ratio rises well above that — as it has today at 28.8× — it signals the market may be overvalued relative to earnings. A high PE ratio does not predict exactly when a crash will happen, but it does reduce the expected future returns from equities.

What is the Shiller CAPE Ratio?

The Shiller CAPE ratio (Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-Earnings) was developed by Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller. It divides the market price by the average of 10 years of inflation-adjusted earnings, smoothing out short-term profit swings. The current CAPE of 38.93 has only been exceeded during the 1999–2000 dot-com bubble, making it one of the most concerning valuation signals in market history.

Is the Stock Market Overvalued in 2026?

By most historical measures, yes — US equities are significantly overvalued in 2026. The Buffett Indicator (total US market cap divided by GDP) sits at 217%, far above the 150% danger threshold. The S&P 500 trades at a 76% premium to its 20-year average PE. However, global markets are considerably cheaper: Europe trades at 18.7× and Emerging Markets at 16.4× — offering better relative value for internationally diversified investors.